(11 p.m. update) Hurricane Matthew remains a category 4 storm with winds of up to 150 mph.  

  • Hurricane Matthew remains a Catergory 4 with 150 mph winds
  • East coast of Florida could potentially be impact next week
  • Tampa Bay will not be directly impact, but increased winds are likely

The latest official track has been shifted slightly east, since most of the models have done the same.

Hurricane Matthew is currently 360 miles southeast of Kingston, Jamaica, moving north-northwest at 7 mph.  There will be some fluctuations in strength over the next 24 hours.

There is a Hurricane Warning in effect for Jamaica and southwest Haiti. There is a Hurricane Watch for eastern Cuba.

Matthew is strong and well organized. It will move slowly north over the next couple days.

Jamaica, Haiti to eastern and Cuba will likely be strongly affected by Matthew starting Sunday night. The Turks and Caicos and the Bahamas will likely be affected starting early Tuesday.

The eastern side of Florida (Space Coast) could potentially see some outer rain bands, gusty winds, high surf, and rip currents, possibly starting Tuesday night.

If Matthew stays well east, these will be minor impacts, but if Matthew just slightly nudges westward they could become bigger impacts.

As Matthew moves north, the Tampa Bay area may see increased winds maybe from Tuesday into Friday or longer, depending on where Matthew will be. Matthew will be somewhere from just east of Florida to east of the Bahamas. Once Matthew moves northeast of Florida, drier air is likely get pushed back in from the north. Rain chances are likely to lower by the end of the week.

Make sure to watch our Tropical Updates each hour at :49.

• What exactly are the spaghetti plots?
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Remember that the spaghetti model plot does not indicate the strength of a system or even development at all. It only predicts where this broad area of low pressure is expected to go.