Note: This story was last updated at 11:05 p.m. Thursday.
A weak broad area of low pressure is moving due westward at 15 mph toward Southeast Cuba.
- The tropical wave still lacks organization
- The system could become Hermine
- Path, intensity of the wave still unclear
- What exactly are the spaghetti plots?
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The system still lacks organization. If it survives a few more days, conditions could become more favorable for development just south of Florida or in the southeastern Gulf Sunday or Monday.
However, with the very weak state of the system right now, it may dissipate or be just a weak low south of Florida.
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Because this wave has not strengthened and is just a low level swirl, it is moving to the west on low-level west winds. Spaghetti model plots are trending farther south with the track over the next couple days.
Regardless of development, heavy rains, with the potential to cause flash floods and mudslides, are likely over Hispaniola and eastern Cuba through Friday.
Gaston became a hurricane during the overnight hours Wednesday into Thursday. It has since been downgraded to a tropical storm as of the 5 p.m. Thursday update. Gaston could possibly strengthen back into a hurricane over the weekend. This system poses no threat to land.
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