(Note: Last updated 11:00 p.m. ET)

The tropical wave near Cuba remains disorganized.  It will not have an impact on our weather this weekend.

Strong wind shear are still preventing it from developing, so the more likely scenario is that it moves westward without developing for a couple days, ending up near Key West by late Sunday.

Early next week on Monday or Tuesday it will likely move northwest into the Gulf.  That is where it will have the best chance of developing, if it ever will.

  • WEATHER ON THE GO: Download the Bay News 9 app
  • GET WEATHER ALERTS: Sign up to receive weather text alerts from Bay News 9
  • Please make sure to check our website and Bay News 9 app and watch our Tropical Updates each hour at :49.

Whether it develops or not, we could end up with higher rain chances next week due to higher moisture content in the atmosphere. As of right now, this looks like a much smaller threat to our state, but it’s still something worth watching closely.

Interesting tidbit -- the computer model with the best performance this week has not been the European model that so many people have raved about the past few years, but rather the American GFS model.  The American GFS model has done a better job portraying a weak tropical wave not developing.  This is why we don’t hype and jump on one computer model like some in the business.  We take a systematic approach that has a proven track record in the long run.

We’ll continue to track it this weekend and let you know if we see any major changes.





Interactive Hurricane Tracker