(Note: Last updated 11:00 p.m. ET)
Gaston has become a hurricane again. An eye was briefly seen on the satellite Saturday evening.
- The system is poorly organized
- We'll know more by Sunday
- What exactly are the spaghetti plots?
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Winds are now 85 mph. Gaston is expected to strengthen, but will stay over the open Atlantic.
Meanwhile, the weak area of low pressure from eastern Cuba northward to the central Bahamas is still not organized. It has shown a bit of an appearance of some organization this evening, but that appearance may not last.
The low is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable for significant development into Sunday while it moves toward the west-northwest. However, if the system can survive and move through the Straits of Florida and into the Gulf of Mexico, conditions could become more favorable for development by late Sunday or Monday.
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Regardless of intensity, the general track of this system during the next several days would favor an increase in rain chances across much of Central Florida and especially southern Florida starting Sunday. Given the deep tropical moisture associated with the system, some of the rain will be heavy.
We will keep a very close eye on this feature if it does eventually move into the Gulf of Mexico. If it is in the Gulf, it could affect our area Monday through Wednesday, or even Friday.
Remember that the spaghetti model plot does not indicate the strength of a system or even development at all. It only predicts where this broad area of low pressure is expected to go.