Here's what you need to know about Tampa Bay area weather for the weekend:

  • Few storms end tonight
  • Rain chances still below normal Sunday

The few storms out there currently end tonight. Then skies will be mostly clear to partly cloudy.

A surface high pressure across central Florida remains very weak, so sea breeze circulations will continue to dominate the wind flow and act as a catalyst for afternoon thunderstorms again on Sunday. The rain chance will still be below normal with drier air overhead.

Flow over the area for Monday and Tuesday will be rather weak, with the west coast sea breeze pushing inland each afternoon. Scattered shower and thunderstorm activity can be expected both days, with the best chances over interior Florida where the best convergence and highest moisture will reside.  With more moisture overhead, rain chances will be higher.

Later on Wednesday, a cold front will move into North Florida. This will switch the prevailing winds here to westerly. Showers and storms on Wednesday will start earlier in the day at the coast.

Thursday, the cold front may edge south far enough for the Nature Coast to get a little sample of some less humid air.  Farther south, the humid onshore winds will continue. Showers and storms will start early in the day near the coast.

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