According to the City of St. Petersburg, the mystery of the area's dying pelican population has probably been solved.

In a press release sent out Monday afternoon, the city said fertilizers being used in Riviera Bay, as well as animal waste runoff, could be to blame:

After initial testing in and around a retention pond known as Riviera Bay Lake, independent biologists from Arcadis have discovered a potential cause.

"There's a significant nutrient impact on this stormwater lake," said Interim Water Resources Director John Palenchar, "A lot of nitrogen was seen in the analytical results that came back from this lake."

Arcadis biologists say potential sources of the increased nitrogen could be from runoff containing fertilizers which create the neighborhood's landscaping up to the lake shore, as well animal waste.

They also point to a cold-weather snap that occurred the first week of January, which produced an inversion event. Inversion events occur when the surface water temperature drops dramatically and is replaced with a bottom layer of water, containing lower levels of oxygen. That led to a substantial fish kill in the lake - primarily of tilapia. Tilapia are mainly freshwater fish, known for an inability to survive in cooler waters, and inhabit shallow streams, ponds, rivers and lakes and less commonly found living in brackish water -and are a food source of pelicans.

"It was very likely some sort of pathogen within the freshwater fish that may have caused this," said Palenchar. While studies continue to further pinpoint the problem, including tests on samples obtained along Coffee Pot Bayou, Palenchar is confident that Florida Fish and Wildlife Commission-initiated necropsies and future Arcadis findings will help chart a course of action to remedy the situation, including aerating dissolved oxygen in the lake.

"Being able to put in a fountain or a pump could actually alleviate that," he said. "We are asking Arcadis to look at any best management practices or improvements that can be done to improve water quality."

The latest findings from Arcadis, as well as updated recreational water quality results, are available at www.stpete.org/water/waterquality.php.

In January, the city said they collected 70 pelicans, and half of those died. A number of local rescues stepped in to help rehabilitate the birds.