The low pressure northeast of Florida was categorized as Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten.

There is a high likelihood this storm could become a tropical system later tonight or early Monday morning. If it does, it will be given the name Irma. Regardless of formation, we will see no additional impacts from this storm. There is still a high chance for rain Monday and Tuesday, but the low will move northeast away from us and we’ll quiet back down by mid-week.

The center is located 20 miles east of Victoria and 30 miles north-northwest of Port O’Connor, Texas. Bands of intense rain and thunderstorms capable of tornadoes extend over 200 miles east of the center to the Louisiana border,  and up to the Austin metro area.

Harvey is drifting east-southeast at 3 mph. Gradual weakening is expected, but this storm will remain a tropical system into the upcoming work week. Although winds will ease, this situation is an imminent prolonged heavy rainfall event.  Along the latest forecast track, Harvey is set to linger in Texas through Thursday.

Harvey is expected to produce rainfall amounts of historic levels. Additional accumulations of 15 to 25 inches over the upper Texas Coast and into southwestern Louisiana are possible through Friday with isolated storm totals in excess of 50 inches. 

Some preliminary rainfall totals so far include:

Colorado River at Smithville – 22.34"

Clear Creek below Bastrop – 19.80"

La Grange – 22.06"

Lockhart – 16.21"

Onion Creek at Buda – 11.27”

The widespread heavy rain has filled up low water crossings and has made many roads impassable. Driving is not recommended today.

At the coast, storm surge combined with tidal effects will produce additional flooding. From Port Aransas to Morgan City including Galveston Bay, a storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is expected.

Many Central Texas counties remain under various tropical weather alerts. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for much of the area until at Tuesday evening.

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

* Mesquite Bay to High Island

In addition to the threat of significant flooding, isolated tornadoes are likely across the upper Texas Coast Monday.