There is a great deal of importance put on the weather patterns of May as we enter summer.

We are currently in a pattern known as ENSO neutral, meaning not in an El Nino or La Nina situation. If this holds true during hurricane season, we would lean toward an average to slightly more active year of storms.

Some forecasters are calling for a potential weak El Nino, which would create a little more wind shear in the atmosphere over the Atlantic and Caribbean, not allowing storms to grow huge and thrive.

Over the last few years, the forecasting of a El Nino or La Nina has not been very good. These are huge factors for hurricane season and make seasonal forecasting so difficult and risky.

This is just an outlook, it is for long-term consideration and planning.

During Hurricane Season you should take it 5 or so days at a time and always assume this is the year you might get hit, no matter what the seasonal outlook says.