With less than a week before Election Day, Gov. Rick Scott and former Gov. Charlie Crist remain locked in a dead heat in the race to become Florida’s governor.
According to a new exclusive Bay News 9/Tampa Bay Times/UF Graham Center poll, Scott and Crist each drew support from 36 percent of the likely voters who responded to the poll. Libertarian challenger Adrian Wyllie received 6 percent of the poll.
The state-wide poll surveyed 850 likely Florida voters and asked them who they would vote for if the election were held that day.
Support for each candidate broke down along party lines, with 66 percent of surveyed Democrats saying they would vote for Crist and 70 percent of Republicans saying they planned to cast their ballots for Scott.
Bay News 9 Republican analyst Chris Ingram said he's not surprised by the results.
"This has been a very close race," he said. "All the polling coming into this election and the last few weeks, we haven't seen any real big bumps for either one of the candidates, so I'm not surprised."
One complicating factor in the poll is that one out of every five people polled did not answer the question. Seven percent of respondents didn’t answer because they said they didn’t know, but 13 percent of those polled simply refused to answer the question.
Pollsters say the high number of refusals could be due to early voting, which has been taking place since last Monday.
That's an assessment Ingram said he agrees with.
"Some of that might have to do with folks who've actually already voted, either they've early voted or voted by mail, and their reluctance to say who they actually voted for," he said. "Basically if you've already acknowledged that you've voted and you say to a hypothetical question 'Who would you vote for?' you're basically telling who you did vote for, and I think people have a reluctance to say who they voted for in a lot of cases."
As a result, the poll results were recalculated without the responses from people who refused to disclose who they supported. The recalculated numbers once again found the two leading candidates drawing nearly equal amounts of support from voters. Crist has a slight edge, with 42 percent saying they supported him to Scott’s 41 percent. However, Crist’s 1-percent edge falls well within the poll’s margin of error of 3.1 percent.
The results of this latest poll are in line with another poll, the results of which were published earlier this month. In that poll, Scott and Crist each received support from 40 percent of the respondents.
Early voting has also played a big role in this campaign season, with both gubernatorial candidates rallying hard for early votes from their supporters. In the past, early voting has traditionally favored Republicans, but the poll found that this election has seen more Democrats taking advantage of early voting.
According to the poll, 39 percent of the respondents who had already voted said they voted for Crist, while 34 percent of the respondents said they cast their ballot for Scott. Five percent said they voted for Wyllie.
Despite the campaigns' emphasis on early voting, Ingram said he believes the voters who wait until Election Day to cast their ballots will play a big role in the outcome of the election.
"The early voting numbers are trending Rick Scott's way, but Charlie is certainly making ground in that area, bBut we can't discount what happens on Election Day, with voters who actually turn out and go to their precinct polling place," he said. "Those voters are very important."
Democratic analyst Ana Cruz agreed, saying the voters who turn out on Election Day could be key to victory for Crist.
"These numbers are no different from what we've seen in the last month. It's going to come down to turnout, in the field, on Election Day," Cruz said. "It's up to the Democrats to get out those voters who have not already voted by absentee ballot or early vote."
In this question, as with the previous question, a lot of respondents refused to answer the question. Eighteen percent of the respondents who had already voted refused to tell the pollster who they had cast their ballot for.
Poll Index
- In the election for governor, for whom did/would you vote?
- Results with voters who refused to answer removed
Poll Results: If the election for governor were being held today, for whom did/would you vote?
1. All Voters
CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 36% | 36% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 7% | 13% |
PARTY | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
Democrats | 66% | 8% | 3% | . | 1% | 8% | 14% |
Republicans | 7% | 70% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 12% |
Other | 50% | . | 33% | . | . | 17% | . |
Independents | 34% | 28% | 12% | . | 2% | 9% | 14% |
MEDIA MARKET | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
Fort Myers | 32% | 39% | 8% | . | . | 5% | 15% |
Jacksonville | 29% | 44% | 3% | . | 1% | 9% | 14% |
Miami | 49% | 26% | 4% | . | . | 11% | 11% |
Orlando | 34% | 42% | 4% | . | 2% | 6% | 11% |
Other | 36% | 37% | 5% | . | 2% | 5% | 14% |
Pensacola | 22% | 51% | 2% | . | 2% | 14% | 8% |
Tampa Bay | 41% | 31% | 8% | . | 1% | 3% | 16% |
West Palm Beach | 31% | 28% | 14% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 12% |
RACE | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
Other | 38% | 21% | 10% | . | 2% | 9% | 21% |
Black | 64% | 5% | 1% | . | . | 7% | 23% |
White | 32% | 42% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 7% | 11% |
HISPANIC | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
No | 36% | 37% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 7% | 13% |
Yes | 41% | 33% | 4% | . | 1% | 7% | 14% |
Don't Know | 28% | . | . | . | . | 28% | 43% |
Refused Answer | . | . | 17% | . | . | 29% | 54% |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
South | 40% | 31% | 8% | 0% | 1% | 6% | 14% |
North | 33% | 42% | 4% | . | 2% | 7% | 12% |
Don't Know/Refused | 24% | 9% | 8% | . | 9% | 25% | 26% |
AGE GROUP | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
18–24 | 46% | 16% | 15% | . | . | 12% | 11% |
25–34 | 35% | 33% | 11% | . | 4% | 7% | 10% |
35–44 | 49% | 31% | 7% | . | 1% | 6% | 6% |
45–59 | 34% | 39% | 4% | . | 1% | 5% | 17% |
60+ | 34% | 38% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 8% | 14% |
AGE GROUP II | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
18–60 | 39% | 34% | 7% | 0% | 2% | 6% | 12% |
61+ | 33% | 39% | 4% | . | 1% | 8% | 15% |
SEX | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
Female | 38% | 34% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 9% | 13% |
Male | 35% | 38% | 8% | . | 1% | 5% | 13% |
VOTING METHOD | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
Plan to Vote | 36% | 38% | 6% | . | 1% | 9% | 10% |
Absentee Ballot | 36% | 36% | 6% | . | 2% | 2% | 18% |
Early Voting | 45% | 28% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 19% |
Don't Know | 23% | 13% | 13% | . | 6% | 29% | 15% |
Refused Answer | 32% | . | 32% | . | . | . | 37% |
2. Asked only of those who already voted
CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 39% | 34% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 18% |
PARTY | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
Democrats | 70% | 7% | 1% | . | 1% | 4% | 17% |
Republicans | 9% | 68% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 16% |
Other | 50% | . | 50% | . | . | . | . |
Independents | 35% | 18% | 18% | . | 3% | . | 26% |
MEDIA MARKET | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
Fort Myers | 35% | 39% | 3% | . | . | . | 22% |
Jacksonville | 30% | 41% | . | . | . | 4% | 25% |
Miami | 52% | 24% | . | . | . | 5% | 18% |
Orlando | 41% | 40% | 2% | . | 5% | 1% | 11% |
Other | 41% | 27% | 9% | . | . | 6% | 17% |
Pensacola | 27% | 73% | . | . | . | . | . |
Tampa Bay | 40% | 30% | 10% | . | 1% | . | 19% |
West Palm Beach | 20% | 30% | 10% | 5% | 5% | . | 30% |
RACE | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
Other | 41% | 19% | 8% | . | . | 6% | 27% |
Black | 64% | . | . | . | . | 4% | 32% |
White | 36% | 40% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 16% |
HISPANIC | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
No | 39% | 35% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 18% |
Yes | 37% | 32% | 5% | . | . | 7% | 18% |
Don't Know | 100% | . | . | . | . | . | . |
Refused Answer | . | . | 43% | . | . | . | 57% |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
South | 39% | 31% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 21% |
North | 39% | 40% | 3% | . | 2% | 3% | 14% |
Don't Know/Refused | 48% | . | 24% | . | 28% | . | . |
AGE GROUP | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
18–24 | 32% | 28% | 11% | . | . | 7% | 22% |
25–34 | 40% | 15% | 13% | . | 4% | 4% | 24% |
35–44 | 52% | 35% | 10% | . | . | . | 4% |
45–59 | 32% | 38% | 4% | . | 2% | . | 24% |
60+ | 40% | 35% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 17% |
AGE GROUP II | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
18–60 | 38% | 32% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 18% |
61+ | 39% | 36% | 3% | . | 2% | 2% | 18% |
SEX | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
Female | 41% | 31% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 18% |
Male | 36% | 38% | 4% | . | 2% | 2% | 18% |
VOTING METHOD | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
Absentee Ballot | 37% | 36% | 5% | . | 2% | 2% | 18% |
Early Voting | 45% | 28% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 19% |
Refused Answer | . | . | 100% | . | . | . | . |
3. Asked of those who haven't voted, but plan to vote
CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 35% | 37% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 10% | 10% |
PARTY | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
Democrats | 63% | 9% | 4% | . | 1% | 11% | 13% |
Republicans | 6% | 71% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 9% |
Other | 50% | . | 25% | . | . | 25% | . |
Independents | 34% | 32% | 10% | . | 2% | 12% | 9% |
MEDIA MARKET | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
Fort Myers | 28% | 40% | 13% | . | . | 11% | 7% |
Jacksonville | 29% | 45% | 4% | . | 1% | 10% | 10% |
Miami | 47% | 27% | 5% | . | . | 13% | 8% |
Orlando | 30% | 44% | 5% | . | 1% | 9% | 11% |
Other | 34% | 42% | 3% | . | 2% | 5% | 13% |
Pensacola | 22% | 46% | 3% | . | 3% | 17% | 10% |
Tampa Bay | 42% | 32% | 6% | . | 1% | 6% | 14% |
West Palm Beach | 35% | 27% | 15% | 5% | 3% | 13% | 6% |
RACE | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
Other | 36% | 22% | 12% | . | 3% | 11% | 17% |
Black | 64% | 6% | 1% | . | . | 9% | 20% |
White | 30% | 44% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 10% | 8% |
HISPANIC | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
No | 35% | 38% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 10% | 10% |
Yes | 43% | 34% | 4% | . | 1% | 6% | 12% |
Don't Know | . | . | . | . | . | 40% | 60% |
Refused Answer | . | . | . | . | . | 48% | 52% |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
South | 41% | 31% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 9% | 9% |
North | 30% | 44% | 4% | . | 2% | 10% | 11% |
Don't Know/Refused | 12% | 13% | . | . | . | 37% | 38% |
AGE GROUP | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
18–24 | 54% | 10% | 17% | . | . | 15% | 4% |
25–34 | 34% | 38% | 11% | . | 4% | 7% | 6% |
35–44 | 48% | 30% | 7% | . | 1% | 7% | 7% |
45–59 | 35% | 39% | 5% | . | 1% | 7% | 14% |
60+ | 29% | 41% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 13% | 12% |
AGE GROUP II | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
18–60 | 39% | 35% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 10% |
61+ | 29% | 41% | 5% | . | 1% | 13% | 12% |
SEX | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
Female | 36% | 36% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 13% | 11% |
Male | 35% | 38% | 10% | . | 1% | 6% | 10% |
VOTING METHOD | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
Plan to Vote | 36% | 38% | 6% | . | 1% | 9% | 10% |
Absentee Ballot | . | . | 100% | 1% | . | . | . |
Don't Know | 23% | 13% | 13% | . | 6% | 29% | 15% |
Refused Answer | 46% | . | . | . | . | 54% |
4. All voters, with refusals removed
CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 42% | 41% | 7% | 0% | 2% | 8% |
PARTY | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
Democrats | 77% | 9% | 3% | . | 2% | 9% |
Republicans | 8% | 79% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 5% |
Other | 50% | . | 33% | . | . | 17% |
Independents | 40% | 33% | 14% | . | 3% | 11% |
MEDIA MARKET | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
Fort Myers | 38% | 47% | 9% | . | . | 6% |
Jacksonville | 34% | 51% | 4% | . | 1% | 10% |
Miami | 54% | 29% | 4% | . | . | 12% |
Orlando | 38% | 48% | 4% | . | 3% | 7% |
Other | 42% | 44% | 6% | . | 2% | 6% |
Pensacola | 24% | 55% | 3% | . | 3% | 15% |
Tampa Bay | 49% | 37% | 9% | . | 1% | 4% |
West Palm Beach | 36% | 32% | 16% | 1% | 4% | 11% |
RACE | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
Other | 47% | 26% | 13% | . | 3% | 11% |
Black | 83% | 6% | 1% | . | . | 10% |
White | 36% | 47% | 7% | 0% | 2% | 8% |
HISPANIC | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
No | 41% | 42% | 7% | 0% | 2% | 8% |
Yes | 48% | 39% | 5% | . | 1% | 8% |
Don't Know | 50% | . | . | . | . | 50% |
Refused Answer | . | . | 37% | . | . | 63% |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
AGE GROUP | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
AGE GROUP II | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
SEX | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
VOTING METHOD | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
South | 46% | 36% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
North | 37% | 48% | 4% | . | 2% | 8% |
Don't Know/Refused | 32% | 12% | 11% | . | 12% | 33% |
18–24 | 52% | 18% | 16% | . | . | 14% |
25–34 | 39% | 37% | 12% | . | 5% | 7% |
35–44 | 52% | 33% | 8% | . | 1% | 6% |
45–59 | 41% | 46% | 5% | . | 1% | 6% |
60+ | 39% | 44% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 9% |
18–60 | 44% | 39% | 8% | 0% | 2% | 7% |
61+ | 39% | 45% | 5% | . | 1% | 9% |
Female | 43% | 39% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 10% |
Male | 40% | 44% | 9% | . | 2% | 5% |
Plan to Vote | 40% | 42% | 7% | . | 1% | 10% |
Absentee Ballot | 44% | 44% | 7% | . | 2% | 3% |
Early Voting | 55% | 35% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
Don't Know | 27% | 16% | 16% | . | 7% | 34% |
Refused | 50% | . | 50% | . | . | . |
5. Those who already voted, with refusals removed
CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 47% | 42% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 2% |
PARTY | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
Democrats | 84% | 9% | 2% | . | 2% | 4% |
Republicans | 11% | 81% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 1% |
Other | 50% | . | 50% | . | . | . |
Independents | 48% | 24% | 24% | . | 4% | . |
MEDIA MARKET | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
Fort Myers | 45% | 51% | 4% | . | . | . |
Jacksonville | 40% | 55% | . | . | . | 5% |
Miami | 64% | 30% | . | . | . | 7% |
Orlando | 46% | 45% | 2% | . | 6% | 2% |
Other | 49% | 32% | 11% | . | . | 8% |
Pensacola | 27% | 73% | . | . | . | . |
Tampa Bay | 49% | 37% | 12% | . | 1% | . |
West Palm Beach | 29% | 43% | 15% | 7% | 7% | . |
RACE | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
Other | 56% | 26% | 10% | . | . | 8% |
Black | 95% | . | . | . | . | 5% |
White | 42% | 47% | 6% | 0% | 3% | 1% |
HISPANIC | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
No | 48% | 42% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 2% |
Yes | 45% | 39% | 6% | . | . | 9% |
Don't Know | 100% | . | . | . | . | . |
Refused Answer | . | . | 100% | . | . | . |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
South | 49% | 39% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
North | 45% | 46% | 3% | . | 2% | 3% |
Don't Know/Refused | 48% | . | 24% | . | 28% | . |
AGE GROUP | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
18–24 | 41% | 36% | 14% | . | . | 9% |
25–34 | 52% | 19% | 17% | . | 6% | 6% |
35–44 | 54% | 36% | 10% | . | . | . |
45–59 | 42% | 50% | 5% | . | 3% | . |
60+ | 48% | 42% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 3% |
AGE GROUP II | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
18–60 | 47% | 39% | 9% | 1% | 2% | 2% |
61+ | 48% | 44% | 4% | . | 2% | 3% |
SEX | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
Female | 50% | 38% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 2% |
Male | 44% | 46% | 5% | . | 2% | 3% |
VOTING METHOD | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
Absentee Ballot | 45% | 44% | 6% | . | 2% | 3% |
Early Voting | 55% | 35% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
Refused | . | . | 100% | . | . | . |
6. Those who haven't voted yet, with refusals removed
CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 39% | 41% | 7% | 1% | 11% |
PARTY | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
Democrats | 73% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 12% |
Republicans | 6% | 78% | 7% | 1% | 8% |
Other | 50% | . | 25% | . | 25% |
Independents | 38% | 35% | 11% | 2% | 14% |
MEDIA MARKET | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
Fort Myers | 31% | 43% | 14% | . | 12% |
Jacksonville | 32% | 50% | 5% | 1% | 11% |
Miami | 51% | 29% | 6% | . | 14% |
Orlando | 34% | 49% | 6% | 1% | 10% |
Other | 39% | 49% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
Pensacola | 24% | 51% | 3% | 3% | 19% |
Tampa Bay | 49% | 37% | 7% | 1% | 7% |
West Palm Beach | 37% | 29% | 16% | 3% | 14% |
RACE | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
Other | 43% | 26% | 14% | 4% | 13% |
Black | 80% | 8% | 2% | . | 11% |
White | 33% | 48% | 7% | 1% | 11% |
HISPANIC | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
No | 38% | 42% | 8% | 1% | 11% |
Yes | 49% | 38% | 4% | 2% | 7% |
Don't Know | . | . | . | . | 100% |
Refused Answer | . | . | . | . | 100% |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
South | 45% | 34% | 9% | 1% | 10% |
North | 34% | 49% | 5% | 2% | 11% |
Don't Know/Refused | 19% | 22% | . | . | 59% |
AGE GROUP | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
18–24 | 57% | 10% | 18% | . | . |
25–34 | 36% | 40% | 11% | 4% | 4% |
35–44 | 51% | 32% | 7% | 1% | 1% |
45–59 | 40% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 1% |
60+ | 33% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 1% |
AGE GROUP II | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
18–60 | 43% | 38% | 8% | 2% | 2% |
61+ | 33% | 46% | 6% | 1% | 1% |
SEX | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
Female | 40% | 40% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
Male | 39% | 42% | 11% | 1% | 1% |
VOTING METHOD | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Neither/Not Voting | Don't Know |
Plan to Vote | 40% | 42% | 7% | 1% | 1% |
Absentee Ballot | . | . | 100% | . | . |
Early Voting | 27% | 16% | 16% | 7% | 7% |
Don't Know | 100% | . | . | . | . |
About the Poll
The telephone survey of 850 likely Florida voters was conducted Oct. 24–28 for News 13, Bay News 9 and the Tampa Bay Times by the University of Florida's Bob Graham Center for Public Service and Bureau of Economic and Business Research.
The poll, which included respondents using land lines and cell phones, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
Results were weighted by age, party registration and media market, thus allowing the results to mirror the distribution in the Florida Voter File.
NOTE: Figures may not sum to 100 percent due to rounding.