Fast moving Nate is getting stronger as it moves toward the Gulf of Mexico. Nate could become a hurricane tomorrow.

  • Tropical Storm Nate to make landfall Saturday night
  • Nate expected to become a Category 1 hurricane
  • Nate forecast to stay far west of Tampa Bay

It will be racing through the gulf and make landfall near the mouth of the Mississippi Saturday Night.

Storm surge flooding is likely along portions of the northern Gulf Coast. A storm surge warning is now in effect from Morgan City, Louisiana, to the Okaloosa/Walton county line in Florida.

A hurricane warning is in effect for portions of the northern Gulf Coast from Louisiana to Alabama.

Nate will bring heavy rainfall of 3 to 6 inches with isolated totals of 10 inches from the central Gulf Coast states into the eastern Tennessee Valley and southern Appalachians through this weekend, resulting in the possibility of flash flooding in these areas.

For our area, with Nate passing well to our west, it will bring long-period swell to along our coast this weekend. Since Nate is rather small and moving fast, this will limit the size and amount of wave action on our coast.

There will be a risk of rip currents on our beaches this weekend along with minor coastal flooding. A Coastal Flood Advisory is posted for Citrus and Levy Counties through Sunday.

The following advisories are in effect:

A tropical storm warning for:

  • Punta Herrero to Rio Lagartos Mexico
  • Pinar del Rio
  • Lake Maurepas
  • West of Grand Isle to Morgan City Louisiana
  • East of the Alabama/Florida border to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line.

A hurricane watch for:

  • Punta Herrero to Rio Lagartos Mexico
  • Lake Maurepas
  • East of the Alabama/Florida border to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line
  • West of Grand Isle to Morgan City Louisiana

A tropical storm watch for:

  • East of the Okaloosa/Walton County Line to Indian Pass Florida
  • West of Morgan City to Intracoastal City Louisiana
  • Isle of Youth

A storm surge watch for:

  • Morgan City Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border
  • Northern and western shores of Lake Pontchartrain

TROPICAL STORM NATE
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.7N 85.0W
ABOUT 175 MI... SE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
ABOUT 165 MI... NNE OF ISLA GUANAJA HONDURAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW AT 21 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES

Make sure to watch our Tropical Updates each hour at :49

What exactly are the spaghetti plots?
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Remember that the spaghetti model plot does not indicate the strength of a system or even development at all. It only predicts where this broad area of low pressure is expected to go.

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