Tropical Storm Erin is moving west-northwestward over the Atlantic Ocean, but has not strengthened yet.

According to Bay News 9 Meteorologist Mike Clay, it looks like it may not survive up to five days.

Erin has top winds of 40 mph and is moving west-northwest at 15 mph, according to the 11 p.m. advisory.

"Erin is moving away from the Cape Verde Islands," said Clay. "By early next week, it will probably encounter cooler waters that should allow it to weaken."

Also, there is a system with the potential for development near the Yucatan Peninsula.

It has become less organized and development before it moves over land has become less likely. However, there is still a potential for development once the disturbance moves over the Gulf of Mexico.

Computer models are not in agreement on the track of the system with some showing it moving west and others toward the northern Gulf coast.

Tropical Storm Erin Advisory

11 p.m. Update: Erin has not strengthened yet.

Watches and warnings: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook:

At 11 p.m., the center of Tropical Storm Erin was located near latitude 15.5 north, longitude 29.1 west.

Erin is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph. This general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days with a decrease in forward speed.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph, with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 35 miles, mainly to the east of center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1,007 mb, or 29.74 inches.

Hazards affecting land:

None.

Next Advisory:

Complete advisory: 5 a.m.