Here's what you need to know about tonight's weather:

  • Showers increasing this afternoon, with few isolated thunderstorms
  • Lows will be mild, humidity will be high

At least parts of the Tampa Bay area are going to get wet this evening.

Showers are increasing this afternoon, with a few isolated thunderstorms. The best chance of rain will be in our northern counties.

Scattered showers are forecast through tonight for the rest of the area. Lows will be very mild and humidity will be high.

There are some pretty major changes to our weekend forecast. Yesterday, there was computer model disagreement about another upper-level impulse, not on the weather charts yet, that could develop and move through over the weekend.

The American GFS model showed totally dry, while the European model showed very wet. Well, today the GFS model has done a flip-flop, as it now sees the upper-level energy and has gone along with the Euro model for a much wetter weekend.

Our rain chances have gone up accordingly, with the best chance late Saturday into Sunday morning.

The models are now forecasting some heavy rain and perhaps a chance of thunderstorms. Once the disturbance exits on Sunday, it’ll drag in colder air for a quick shot of chilly temperatures Monday and Tuesday.

There is still computer model disagreement with respect to the temperatures due to the timing of the arrival of the colder air, but the models all show it. So it is pretty safe to say our northern counties could drop into the 40s early next week with 50s, maybe low 50s, forecast the immediate Tampa Bay area. Highs on Monday will likely stay in the 60s.

There should be considerable high clouds around much of next week, but it should be dry. Temperatures will gradually warm up to near normal for Thanksgiving.

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