Exclusive Poll: Medical marijuana would pass in Florida today

By Dalia Dangerfield / Mike Westfall / Rod Gipson, Team Coverage
Last Updated: Wednesday, November 04, 2015, 6:20 PM EST

An exclusive Bay News 9/News 13 Florida Decides Poll found that voters appear ready to say yes to medical marijuana.

Millions of dollars were spent on a campaign to legalize medical marijuana in Florida in 2014 but voters narrowly defeated that amendment.

Now there's a push to get that amendment back on the ballot for 2016, and according to our Florida Decides exclusive statewide poll, it looks like voters may be ready to legalize medical marijuana.

The poll asked registered voters would they support or oppose a state constitutional amendment to legalize medical marijuana.

Sixty-two percent said they would support it, while 30 percent said they would not and 8 percent were unsure.

Jump to view the complete poll results ▼

The amendment would need more than 60 percent approval to pass.

The battle over legal marijuana has been controversial in Florida. 

“I believe we are all compassionate souls,” said Renee Petro with CannaMoms, a group from the Brandon area pushing for legalization for medical purposes.

Petro said passage would allow her to get medical help for her son, who suffers from Febrile infection-related epilepsy syndrome.

“After seeing your child suffer and repeatedly seeing your child suffer, it is natural to anyone to want to do anything to help their loved one alleviate their pain and suffering,” said Petro.

Meanwhile, detractors like Ellen Snelling with the Hillsborough County Anti-Drug Alliance say, “The way to go is not marijuana.”

Snelling says legalizing marijuana would cause a big problem among young people.

“The more marijuana that's available, then children will think it's OK,” Snelling said. “They hear it's a medicine and they start using it even more and we already have a problem here in Florida.”

Our poll also asked whether voters would support or oppose a state constitutional amendment to legalize all forms of marijuana.

Forty-four percent support that.

But 47 percent do not want to legalize the drug completely. Ten percent are not sure.

Also in our poll, young men were more in favor of legalizing all forms of marijuana.

Most of those saying no were women, aged 65 years and older.

Here's a look at the poll results.


Medical Marijuana

Q: Would you support or oppose a state constitutional amendment to legalize medical marijuana?

ALL TOTAL  
Support 62%
Oppose 30%
Not Sure 8%
GENDER Male Female  
Support 64% 60%
Oppose 31% 30%
Not Sure 5% 10%
AGE GROUP 18–34 35–49 50–64 65+
Support 67% 68% 66% 48%
Oppose 20% 21% 28% 46%
Not Sure 13% 11% 5% 6%
  Under 50 50+  
Support 68% 58%
Oppose 21% 37%
Not Sure 11% 5%
HISPANIC Cuban Non-Cuban  
Support 61% 61%
Oppose 29% 26%
Not Sure 10% 12%
RACE White Black Asian / Other  
Support 61% 67% 63%
Oppose 32% 22% 29%
Not Sure 7% 11% 9%
PARTY REGISTRATION Republican Democrat Unaffiliated  
Support 45% 75% 68%
Oppose 47% 17% 25%
Not Sure 8% 7% 7%
AFFILIATION Republican Democrat Independent  
Support 44% 76% 66%
Oppose 47% 17% 25%
Not Sure 8% 7% 9%
IDEOLOGY Conservative Moderate Liberal  
Support 44% 68% 81%
Oppose 49% 24% 12%
Not Sure 7% 9% 7%
TOP ISSUE Economy Immigration National Security Health Care
Support 63% 51% 52% 72%
Oppose 31% 41% 42% 20%
Not Sure 6% 8% 6% 7%
EDUCATION High School Some College College Degree  
Support 56% 64% 62%
Oppose 35% 28% 30%
Not Sure 8% 8% 8%
INCOME Under $40K $40K – $80K Over $80K  
Support 62% 62% 61%
Oppose 29% 30% 32%
Not Sure 9% 8% 7%
REGION Northwest Northeast Central Southwest
Support 57% 55% 62% 62%
Oppose 33% 34% 32% 32%
Not Sure 9% 11% 7% 6%
  Southeast  
Support 65%
Oppose 26%
Not Sure 9%


Recreational Marijuana

Q: Would you support or oppose a state constitutional amendment to legalize all forms of marijuana?

ALL TOTAL  
Support 44%
Oppose 47%
Not Sure 10%
GENDER Male Female  
Support 49% 40%
Oppose 44% 49%
Not Sure 7% 12%
AGE GROUP 18–34 35–49 50–64 65+
Support 57% 49% 49% 26%
Oppose 31% 38% 42% 67%
Not Sure 12% 13% 8% 6%
  Under 50 50+  
Support 52% 39%
Oppose 35% 54%
Not Sure 13% 7%
HISPANIC Cuban Non-Cuban  
Support 41% 37%
Oppose 47% 47%
Not Sure 12% 16%
RACE White Black Asian / Other  
Support 44% 44% 41%
Oppose 48% 40% 48%
Not Sure 8% 16% 11%
PARTY REGISTRATION Republican Democrat Unaffiliated  
Support 30% 56% 45%
Oppose 63% 32% 45%
Not Sure 7% 11% 9%
AFFILIATION Republican Democrat Independent  
Support 30% 56% 45%
Oppose 63% 32% 44%
Not Sure 6% 11% 11%
IDEOLOGY Conservative Moderate Liberal  
Support 31% 45% 65%
Oppose 62% 44% 24%
Not Sure 6% 11% 11%
TOP ISSUE Economy Immigration National Security Health Care
Support 46% 35% 32% 57%
Oppose 46% 59% 61% 38%
Not Sure 8% 6% 7% 6%
EDUCATION High School Some College College Degree  
Support 43% 44% 44%
Oppose 45% 45% 48%
Not Sure 13% 10% 8%
INCOME Under $40K $40K – $80K Over $80K  
Support 45% 45% 42%
Oppose 42% 47% 50%
Not Sure 13% 8% 8%
REGION Northwest Northeast Central Southwest
Support 36% 41% 45% 45%
Oppose 56% 48% 47% 46%
Not Sure 8% 11% 8% 8%
  Southeast  
Support 44%
Oppose 44%
Not Sure 12%


Casino Gaming

Q: Do you support or oppose legalizing casino gaming in Florida?

ALL TOTAL  
Support 55%
Oppose 34%
Not Sure 10%
GENDER Male Female  
Support 60% 51%
Oppose 32% 37%
Not Sure 8% 12%
AGE GROUP 18–34 35–49 50–64 65+
Support 58% 64% 54% 48%
Oppose 25% 27% 37% 44%
Not Sure 18% 9% 9% 8%
  Under 50 50+  
Support 62% 51%
Oppose 26% 40%
Not Sure 12% 9%
HISPANIC Cuban Non-Cuban  
Support 57% 55%
Oppose 26% 34%
Not Sure 17% 11%
RACE White Black Asian / Other  
Support 56% 57% 48%
Oppose 35% 26% 39%
Not Sure 9% 16% 13%
PARTY REGISTRATION Republican Democrat Unaffiliated  
Support 53% 57% 59%
Oppose 39% 31% 31%
Not Sure 8% 12% 10%
AFFILIATION Republican Democrat Independent  
Support 52% 57% 59%
Oppose 40% 31% 31%
Not Sure 8% 12% 10%
IDEOLOGY Conservative Moderate Liberal  
Support 53% 55% 60%
Oppose 38% 34% 30%
Not Sure 9% 11% 11%
TOP ISSUE Economy Immigration National Security Health Care
Support 57% 56% 52% 67%
Oppose 35% 36% 41% 26%
Not Sure 8% 8% 8% 7%
EDUCATION High School Some College College Degree  
Support 57% 57% 54%
Oppose 30% 31% 39%
Not Sure 13% 12% 8%
INCOME Under $40K $40K – $80K Over $80K  
Support 53% 58% 56%
Oppose 33% 33% 37%
Not Sure 14% 9% 7%
REGION Northwest Northeast Central Southwest
Support 49% 49% 54% 53%
Oppose 37% 39% 36% 38%
Not Sure 14% 11% 10% 9%
  Southeast  
Support 62%
Oppose 29%
Not Sure 9%


About the Poll

The poll was conducted Wednesday, Oct. 28 – Sunday, Nov. 1, 2015 by SurveyUSA for Bay News 9 and News 13.

3,000 state of Florida adults were interviewed. Of the adults, 2,712 were registered to vote in the state of Florida. Of the registered voters, 2,400 were determined to be likely to vote in the Nov. 8, 2016 general election. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA determined that 922 were likely to vote in the Republican primary, and 826 were likely to vote in the Democratic primary, both on March 15, 2016.

This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode: respondents reachable on their home telephone (69% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (31% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Barack Obama carried Florida (the state was "blue") in both 2008 and 2012.

NOTE: Figures may not sum to 100 percent due to rounding.