Ongoing catastrophic and life-threatening flooding will continue across southeastern Texas.  Additional rainfall accumulations of 15 to 25 inches are expected across the upper Texas coast, with isolated storm totals as high as 50 inches. 

The flood threat is spreading farther east into Louisiana. Additional rainfall amounts of 15 to 25 inches are expected in southwestern Louisiana, with rainfall amounts of 5 to 15 inches expected in south-central Louisiana and 5 to 10 inches in southeastern Louisiana.

While Tropical Storm Warnings have been extended eastward along the coast of Louisiana and a Storm Surge Watch has been issued, the impacts of winds and storm surge are expected to be secondary compared to that of the rains.

Rain does continue in Texas -- just not as intense as yesterday. Catastrophic flooding is still expected in E. Texas due to the rain and now rapidly rising river levels which in many cases, will exceed record crests.

Also in the Tropics ...

An Air Force Hurricane Hunter plane has been flying through the disturbance east of South Carolina reports it has not become any better organized, and most of the weather is located in bands well to the northeast and southeast of the trough.

With the shear increasing, the chances for the system to become a tropical storm are diminishing, but if it does occur it should happen within the next 24 hours or so while the system moves near the Outer Banks of North Carolina.

Regardless of whether tropical cyclone formation occurs, tropical storm conditions are still expected in the warning area in North Carolina.

Some east Texas rainfall totals (in inches): 

BERRY B FOREST OAKS                          30.56                  
BEAMER DITCH HUGHES RD                  29.08                  
DAYTON 4 NW                                         28.73                  
MARYS CREEK AT MELODYWOOD         27.88                  
BAYTOWN 2 NW                                      27.32                  
FIRST COLONY 4 WSW                          27.20                  
LITTLE VINCE BAYOU                            26.44                  
HUNTING BAYOU                                   26.13                  
CLEAR CREEK NEAR FREINDSWOOD   25.92                  
TELEPSEN                                               25.91                  
AMAND BAYOU                                       25.84                  
LITTLE CEDAR BAYOU                           25.84                  
GUM GULLY AT DIAMOND HEAD          25.70                  
PASADENA 2 ESE                                    25.63                  
PECAN GROVE 1 NNW                           25.48                  
LITTLE MOUND CREEK AT BETKA        25.20                  
ADDICKS RESERVOIR                           25.16                  
SUGARLAND                                           25.16                  
WALLER 7 ESE                                       25.13    

What exactly are the spaghetti plots?
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Remember that the spaghetti model plot does not indicate the strength of a system or even development at all. It only predicts where this broad area of low pressure is expected to go.

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