ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. -- Here's your Tampa area weather forecast for late Thursday evening, along with a look at conditions through Father's Day on Sunday.

  • A few storms
  • More storms Sunday PM
  • Pattern change Monday

We had fewer storms in the region due to slightly drier air in the mid-levels of the atmosphere. Any isolated storm will go away with clearing skies overnight into early Friday morning.

Lows will be in the low 70s inland and upper 70s at the coast.

Friday will start with an isolated shower or storm in the gulf near our coast. After that, the best chance of storms from midday onward will be inland as the sea breeze moves in.

Again the storm chance will be at about 30 percent. Although there won’t be many storms, the ones that form will be intense with frequent lightning.

Highs will be in the low 90s.

Friday night will feature a couple of isolated storms inland, but otherwise pretty quiet conditions for this time of year with partly cloudy skies going mostly clear with lows in the 70s.

Saturday will again feature about a 30 percent coverage of scattered storms, mainly in the afternoon with most of them drifting inland in the afternoon to evening. Highs will be in the low 90s.

Sunday will start out quiet, but we expect a higher rain chance Sunday afternoon to evening as a slug of moisture moves in from the Atlantic side of the state. That will push a batch of showers and storms through our area and into the gulf that night.

Expect highs in the low to mid 90s that day.

Behind that moisture will be drier air for Monday, with a lower rain chance. Just how low, however, is still the difficult part of the forecast.

It all depends on the trajectory of the dry air and how much actually makes it into our atmosphere. Therefore, the rain chance could be anywhere between 10 percent and 40 percent depending on that attribute.

We’ll be able to fine tune that forecast this weekend and have a good idea what it will be like to start next week. 

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The seven-day forecast