ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. — Showers and some storms will increase in coverage tonight ahead of the Tropical Storm Nestor in the Gulf of Mexico.

The center of Nestor is moving toward the Florida Panhandle but the worst weather extends 200 miles east of the center.  This places Tampa Bay on the rainy side of the storm.

The front that came through and gave us lower humidity will lift northward as a warm front this evening. 

Winds will increase from the southeast and rain and thunderstorms will begin to move in from the gulf.

The main threat is the risk for severe weather overnight into tomorrow morning. A line of storms will move onshore Saturday morning with heavy rain and gusty winds. This line may also result in an isolated tornado or two. 

In addition to the severe threat, storm surge will affect our coastal communities from Clearwater Beach north through the Nature Coast.

A storm surge warning remains in effect. The Nature Coast is more susceptible to coastal flooding, where a 3-5 foot surge could result in a few spots. The Saturday morning high tide cycle is when we expect the storm surge to reach its peak. (See list below for high tide times.)

A Coastal Flood Advisory is also issued for Tampa Bay for a water level increase of 1-2 feet, especially noticeable at times of high tide.

The worst of the weather associated with the storm will be overnight tonight into Saturday morning. It’s a fast moving storm, so by late Saturday into Sunday we will be drying things out. 

Sunday will be the nicer of the two weekend days, with drier air and a few showers, mainly south. Highs will be in the mid 80s.

High Tides on Saturday:

  • Crystal River  4:48 a.m. (+4.1)  6:52 pm (+3.0)
  • Ozello  6:16 a.m. (+1.9)  8:20 pm (+1.4)
  • Chassahowitzka  6:00 a.m. (+2.4)  8:04 pm (+1.8)
  • Bayport  4:50 a.m. (+3.1)  6:54 pm (+2.3)
  • Hudson 3:39 a.m. (+3.5)  5:43 pm (+2.6)
  • New Port Richey  3:53 a.m. (+3.4)  5:57 pm (+2.6)
  • Tarpon Springs  3:35 a.m. (+3.0)  5:39 pm (+2.2)
  • Clearwater Beach  2:44 a.m. (+2.7)  4:48 pm (+2.0)
  • Anna Maria 2:33 a.m. (+2.6)  6:34 pm
  • Gulfport  3:11 a.m. (+2.5)  7:12 pm
  • St. Petersburg  4:43 a.m. (+2.6)  8:44 pm
  • Tampa McKay Bay  4:45 a.m. (+3.1)  8:46 pm

7-day forecast

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